A top-down approach to beating the market in 5 weeks

Many NFL bettors start by looking at individual markets — such as spreads, totals, teasers or props — and asking, “Which spread looks better?” or “What’s up with the total this week?” This is a bottom-up approach, where you focus on specific bets first.

In this space, we will take a different approach. Each week, we’ll focus on one game and use a top-down strategy to break it down. That means starting with the big picture — how teams, players or trends are performing — and then figuring out the best way to apply that information to different betting markets.

While some of our bets may focus on traditional markets, such as spreads or totals, we will often explore other opportunities to maximize value on the betting markets offered by the sportsbook.

Week 5 data-backed NFL bets

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