• RB Jamir Gibbs, Detroit Lions – Oversion 71.5 yards (-112): Even in the backfield, Gibbs has established himself as one of the league’s most dynamic runners, especially in open space. The sophomore quarterback earned an impressive 85.2 Toughness grade, ranking in the top 10 at the position, and ranked third in carries of 10 yards or more (25) this season.
• VR KaVontae Turpin, Dallas Cowboys – over 5.5 receiving yards (-112): Turpin rose to fame in Week 12 with an incredible kick return for a touchdown, highlighted by great spin and incredible high speed. This performance should give Turpin more opportunities in Cowboys the offense desperately needs playmakers outside CeeDee Lamb.
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Estimated reading time: 5 minutes
Chicago Bears against Detroit Lions (-9.5) (Total: 47.5)
Game review
Detroit has been virtually unstoppable this season, and their dominance on the field has extended to the betting markets. Lions boasts a 9-2 record against the spread (ATS), including a perfect 2-0 record when favored by 10 or more points. Dan Campbell’s team routed ATS 2-1 on Thanksgiving Day, and their only bad cover came last season in a 29-22 loss to the team. Packers at home as favorites with 8.5 points.
Although coaching changes did not lead to team victories Bearsthey showed improvement in betting markets. Chicago is 1-0-1 since naming Thomas Brown as offensive coordinator. The successes of the offense under Brown’s leadership helped maintain Bears competitive, giving them a chance for backdoor cover late in the game if they come into play on Thanksgiving.
RB Jamir Gibbs, Detroit Lions: Over 71.5 yards (-112)
Even in the backfield, Gibbs has established himself as one of the league’s most dynamic runners, especially in open space. The sophomore quarterback earned an impressive 85.2 Toughness grade, ranking in the top 10 at the position, and ranked third in carries of 10 yards or more (25) this season. This explosive playmaking ability allowed Gibbs to surpass that rushing line in seven games and surpass his overall projection in nine games.
Bears have struggled to contain opposing runners this season, consistently allowing significant leads. Chicago has given up that rushing line to eight running backs in 11 games. WITH David Montgomery Injured and listed as questionable for this matchup, Gibbs is well positioned to take full advantage of this.
New York Giants against Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) (Total: 37.5)
Game review
The bottom half of the NFC East has had a tough season, and the struggles have spread to the betting markets. This year both Giants And Cowboys keep the cover rate at 27.3%.
Giants‘decision to leave Daniel Jones their fortunes did not improve as they lost six games in a row both outright and against the spread. Now things could get even more complicated with Jones replacing him. Tommy DeVitolisted as questionable after suffering a forearm injury last week. If DeVito can’t go, Drew Lock could become the team’s third starting quarterback in as many weeks.
On the other side Cowboys seemed to be heading down the same path, but recently snapped their five-game losing streak, both outright and ATS, with an away win over Commanders. Despite this momentum, Dallas remains winless at home, sporting a 0–5 record on the season.
WR KaVontae Turpin, Dallas Cowboys: Over 5.5 receiving yards (-112)
Turpin rose to fame in Week 12 with an incredible kick return for a touchdown, highlighted by great spin and incredible high speed. This performance should give Turpin more opportunities in Cowboys the offense desperately needs playmakers outside CeeDee Lamb.
The stunning returner has been effective in limited action, earning a solid PFF grade of 70.0 this season. Turpin has impressed with the ball in his hands, catching seven of his eight targets in November and posting a perfect passer rating of 158.3 when on target.
Miami Dolphins against Green Bay Packers (-3) (Total: 47.5)
Game review
Tua Tagovailoathe comeback sparked Dolphins crime at the most opportune moment. Since his return in Week 8, Miami boasts the fourth-highest EPA per game in the NFL, contributing to a 4-1 record against the spread (ATS) and a 2-0 mark as an underdog. This revamped attack has also produced four overs in total games in the last five competitions, averaging an impressive 29 points per game.
Packerson the other hand, have struggled to achieve similar success in the betting markets. Despite an outright 6-1 record, Green Bay has played just one of its last five games—their only success coming last week against Brock Purdy-less 49ers squad. Packers have also been inconsistent in scoring this season, holding a 3-4 ATS record in such situations.
THAT Tucker Craft, Green Bay Packers: More than 3.5 receptions (+122)
Appearance Tucker Craft provided Jordan Love with another dynamic target in Green Bay’s offense. Although Kraft does not control a significant share PackersIn terms of passing numbers, he has proven to be a reliable player in key situations, throwing for six touchdowns, the second-most among tight ends this season. WITH DolphinsWith the offense firing on all cylinders, this game scenario has the potential to be a productive affair.
While Miami’s defense has shown improvement in recent weeks, they continue to struggle in tight spots. Over the last five games the team Dolphins had four or more receptions by six different tight ends, including standout performances by Vegas Brock Bowers and Arizona Trey McBride.
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