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Giants-Steelers Betting Preview (Odds, Lines, Best Bets)

RB Devin Singletary, New York Giants – Youat distances less than 30.5 yards: Returning to the lineup after missing two games with a groin injury, Devin Singletary appears to have been usurped on the depth chart by a freshman Tyrone Tracywho outscored the veteran 37-12.

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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes

Game review

Week 8 concludes on Monday night with a non-conference matchup between one of the AFC’s hottest teams and one of the NFC’s coldest teams.

Pittsburgh Steelers Come into this game on the heels of two dominant wins and a 5-2 record against the spread. Their recent performances have them third in the NFL in differential against the run (+7.6), and they have thrown three overs in their last four games.

Much of Pittsburgh’s success comes from strong ground play on both sides of the ball. In October, the Steelers offense ranked 11th in EPA per play and third in EPA per rush. Najee Harris led the way, posting the NFL’s highest rushing rating (90.5) and leading the league in yards after contact (206) during that span.

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The Giants have been much less consistent in the betting market, losing their last two games after a three-week layoff. New York has been an underdog in every game this season, largely due to their offensive struggles, which also resulted in just one game being outscored.

The Giants’ passing attack has reached problematic lows in the last three games. Daniel Jones posted a PFF passing grade of 59.2, the lowest of any quarterback with 100 or more throws during that span, and an explosive bottom-five pass rate of 8.0%.

New York has relied heavily on the pass rush, which has produced a league-best 18 sacks, 36.7% pass rush productivity (2nd) and 62 total pressures (4th) over the last three games. . However, their coverage unit has struggled, producing the highest completion rate in the NFL (81.4%) and the fifth-highest open target rate (62.9%).

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RB Devin Singletary, New York Giants: Under 30.5 yards (-111, PFF betting model edge 3.3%)

Returning to the lineup after missing two games with a groin injury, Devin Singletary appears to have been usurped on the depth chart by a freshman Tyrone Tracywho outscored the veteran 37-12.

The Giants running game struggles to generate momentum going forward, ranking 29th in yards before contact per attempt (1.0), which limits the production of the backfield. As a result, Singletary has surpassed his yardage in only two of five games this season, most recently achieving it in Week 3, while averaging just 3.9 yards per carry, with more than 80% of that yardage coming through contact.

This inefficiency creates problems against a Pittsburgh defense that is staunchly resistant to the run. In their last three games, they have earned the second-highest team rating against the run (83.8), helped by three forced fumbles (the most in the NFL) and an average tackling depth of 3.23. Singletary, who has already failed twice this season, could be in danger against such a destructive unit.

Just last week, Pittsburgh hosted the Jets RB Tournament. Brice Hall to 38 yards on 12 carries, yielding just 0.2 yards to contact per attempt and posting a 41.7% run rate.

WR Malik Nabers, New York Giants: Over 0.5 yards (+270, 34.3% PFF betting model edge)

Loss Andrew Thomas This offensive line has been in trouble for the year, especially in pass protection.

Just last week they gave up seven sacks to Philadelphia, a worrying sign as they face Pittsburgh’s formidable pass rush. Under the leadership TJ WattIn 2024, the Steelers posted the highest team pass-rushing grade in the NFL (86.9).

Given the passing game’s recent struggles, including no passing touchdowns in the last two games, the Giants may be looking for creative ways to bring in their best playmaker. While Nabers hasn’t seen much action in the run game (he has just three carries this season), New York must find ways to get the ball in his hands if they hope to be in this game.

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