Over the years, PFF’s data scientists have conducted extensive research to better understand and predict player performance. While many of these seminal works continue to shape discussions and influence analysis, the focus here is on identifying how these ideas apply to specific weekly matches and highlighting opportunities that the betting market may have overlooked.
Some bets will align with traditional markets, while others will explore more niche options to ensure we are using the most appropriate markets for a given thesis or angle.
Houston Texans passing attack against New England Patriots‘ secondary reach with more people
PFF looked at the impact of man coverage on zones and found that talent is more likely to dominate in man coverage than in zone coverage. The screenshot below illustrates some of these studies.
New England’s coverage rate ranks third in the NFL this season, but their defenders, especially Jonathan Jones And Christian Gonzaleztried their best to prevent separation.
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